NOTES ABOUT SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA WEATHER & CLIMATE
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Weathernotes Archive August 2004

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Depth Average Temperature August 8, 2004Click!
Depth Average Temperature 2°S to 2°N
August 8, 2004

Weathernotes for Sunday, August 8, 2004

A mild to moderate El Nino may be in the works. In the August 5, 2004 update of his Multivariate ENSO Index (MEI) page NOAA-CIRES researcher Dr. Klaus Wolter reported a 0.2 increase in the MEI since last month, and more than 0.5 increase in the last four months.

According to Dr. Wolter, "An increase into the upper tercile rankings at this time of year compared to the preceding spring has ALWAYS resulted in at least weak to moderate El Niño conditions during the subsequent fall and winter." The Climate Prediction Center's ENSO Diagnostic Discussion, issued August 5, also says that El Niño conditions are expected to develop during the next 3 months. We'll see!

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